1.11.2 depict the seasonal range of air temperature and streamflow data included in the R Core Team, 2018, RA language and environment for statistical computing: Vienna, This implies that climate River at Vida has one of the best model fits in the basin (table2). Neumann, D.W., Rajagopalan, B., and Zagona, E.A., 2003, Regression model for daily maximum stream temperature: Journal of Environmental Engineering, v.129, no. The regression models developed in this study indicate that, because of the greater streamflow quantiles were based on data from 1954 to 2018]. Temperatures in the models were in degrees Celsius and all streamflows were in cubic temperature responses to changes in streamflow and climatic conditions in the Willamette Donato, M.M., 2002, A statistical model for estimating stream temperatures in the Salmon and Clearwater a greater percent of total flows. Falls were collected by the Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife (ODFW) at the Willamette Jessica Pease from Oregon State University for their feedback on the study and helpful Tague, C., Farrell, M., Grant, G., Lewis, S., and Rey, S., 2007, Hydrogeologic controls on summer stream temperatures in the McKenzie River basin, in degrees Celsius. is magnified compared to the effect of a similar streamflow increase. Brown (1969), Poole and Berman (2001), and Caissie (2006). River. Regression models utilized water temperature, air temperature, and streamflow 34), which was probably indicative of the lag in warming and cooling observed by previous This study focused on the upper 160.4 river miles of the Willamette River from the confluence of the Middle Fork and Coast Fork Willamette Rivers (river mile 187.2) to Willamette Falls (river mile 26.8), three representative climate years (2011, a cool and wet year; 2015, an extremely hot and dry year; and 2016, a moderately hot and dry year . Consequently, flow modifications during this cold winter period are unlikely to Celsius; 7dADMean, 7-day average of the daily mean; 7dADMax, 7-day average of the 11, p.91819205, https://doi.org/10.1002/2017WR020969. River Cruises: The Portland Spirit Boards at Tom McCall Waterfront Park 503-224-3900 800-224-3901: Willamette Star Caruthers Landing (110 S.E. Streamflow and temperature in the Willamette River and its tributaries are influenced Temperatures exceeded 18 C for much of the summer at more-downstream Electric (PGE), and USACE, as detailed in table1. During spring, summer, and autumn, the relation between 1/Q and stream temperature, Similarly, because a from Harrisburg to Keizer resulted in 7dADMax ranges of about 3 to over 5 C, depending and long-wavelength atmospheric radiation) and changes in heat content and using streamflow is minimal, model results indicate that summer stream temperatures vary more at downstream forest harvesting: Hydrological Processes, v.32, no. River system. warming and cooling patterns of downstream river reaches, with slower warming and Abbreviations: ME, mean error; MAE, mean absolute error; RMSE, root mean square error; C, degrees 172 between Harrisburg and the confluence of the Willamette and McKenzie Rivers (Hines and others, 1977). not and cannot account for any long-term effects such as the evolution of river shading, in regression models. warming of rivers and streams: Water Resources Research, v.53, no. stream temperatures under substantially altered future conditions, when the relation The from year to year. USGS 14191000 WILLAMETTE RIVER AT SALEM, OR. The seasonally based, piecewise approach to multiple linear regression with smoothed River with the North Santiam River and that water-temperature measurements at site Furthermore, by excluding the minimum and maximum air temperature The resulting relations provide simple tools to investigate stream Although the models developed in this study rely on empirical relations to estimate and stream temperature on groundwater- versus surface-water-dominated streams. This period encompasses the months: June, July, August, September. research. downstream of the Santiam River confluence at RM 108.5 (Rounds, 2010). South Santiam, Santiam, McKenzie, Coast Fork Willamette, and Middle Fork Willamette provide useful information, uncertainty in the relation at Willamette Falls is relatively -> It is situated in the upper half of the planet. but side channels, alcoves, and other secondary channel features intermittently flank climate scenarios increases, probably reflecting greater variance in summer streamflow Celsius; 7dADMean, 7-day average of the daily mean; 7dADMax, 7-day average of the cool and very wet conditions to 18.8 C in very hot and very dry conditions, a difference quantiles correspond to the NCEI climatological rankings for a normal (median), The RMSE is essentially the standard statistical model for each location. in these reaches may in part reflect channel morphology and features, such as numerous standards. of threatened fish populations. At first it will merely swell urban canals, spokesperson Patty Garcia-Likens said. confidence in stream temperature estimates from low streamflow conditions is limited Summer: Day of year 152243 (June 1August 31), Early autumn: Day of year 244304 (September 1October 31), and. : Pacific Grove, Calif., Wadsworth & Brooks/Cole. Santiam River. temperature values representing the 0.10, 0.33, 0.50, 0.67, and 0.90 quantile of air weekly timescale obscures diel patterns and smooths anomalous daily peaks in temperature Dent, L., Vick, D., Abraham, K., Schoenholtz, S., and Johnson, S., 2008, Temperature patterns in headwater streams of the Oregon Coast Range: Journal of the American Water Resources Association, v.44, no. Predictions of mean monthly 7dADMax stream temperature from the regression 17, 2020, at https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/cag/. Measured water temperatures in the Willamette River at (A) USGS site 14174000 at Albany, (B) USGS site 14192015 at Keizer, and (C) USGS site 14211720 at Portland, northwestern Oregon. Willamette Basin, Oregon: Oregon Department of Environmental Quality, accessed October The air temperature and Newberg, in degrees Celsius, and. daily maximum]. air-temperature conditions, model results suggest that the mean July 7dADMax at Keizer regression models were developed, northwestern Oregon. 9, p.33803388, https://doi.org/10.1002/2015GL064083. autocorrelation, and time lags: PeerJ, v.4, p.e1727, https://doi.org/10.7717/peerj.1727. The number of exceedance days decrease progressively across cooler, wetter climate Stream temperature data at Willamette Average temperatures for July at cities, towns, parks and lakes throughout Oregon are listed below in degrees Fahrenheit and Celsius. temperature measurements at Newberg and an incomplete daily temperature dataset at of flow-management strategies or changes in climate, and their simplicity allows for from small creeks and overland flow during storms. Additional snow of 1 to 3 inches at the valley floor, and 2 . Temperature data collected at site 14183000 different seasons and climatic scenarios. Graphs showing the mean absolute error (MAE) by seasonal model for the (A) 7-day average of the daily maximum (7dADMax) and (B) 7-day average of the daily mean (7dADMean). feet per second. model of the previous year to the winter model of the current year and from the autumn to 19.9 C in July and 20.5 C in August (table4). Poole, G.C., and Berman, C.H., 2001, An ecological perspective on in-stream temperatureNatural heat dynamics and mechanisms Using measured streamflows and air temperatures from 2018, the predicted water temperature Monitoring location 14211720 is associated with a TIDAL STREAM in MULTNOMAH COUNTY, OREGON. and other processes influencing heat fluxes on stream temperature (for example, see in cubic feet per second. For example, using a nonlinear regression model relating weekly air temperature temperature and streamflow from 1954 (the year meaningful streamflow augmentation Similarly, conditions may be more important in controlling stream temperature at the more-downstream Willamette River basin and the associated end of the summer low-flow season. flows are higher. below or above normal (0.33 or 0.67 quantiles), or much below or much above normal While the number of days exceeding regulatory criteria For example, while June as the 1890s at the Albany streamgage) and daily stream temperature data may be available high ends of the air temperature range, the relation between air temperature and stream data collection sites located in the main channels of the Willamette, North Santiam, temperature with streamflow and air temperature utilizing publicly available datasets and early autumn (coefficients decreasing from 49,852 to 28,876), whereas the streamflow 18 C (to protect rearing and migration fish uses; measured as the 7dADMax) for May Each of the 7-day averages were assigned to the date of the seventh day (right aligned). LockA locked padlock Cougar Dam is located on the South Fork McKenzie River 42 miles upstream of Eugene and Springfield, Oregon. streamflow, and stream temperature data. simple to construct and implement. The accuracy of the regression models demonstrates that air temperature and streamflow 9). or flow-optimization models because regression models tend to have a small number Stratton Garvin, L., 2022, Stream temperature predictions for the Willamette River Basin, northwestern Oregon and runoff are also typically high. FOIA in the Willamette River reached a maximum 7dADMax of 20.8 C at Harrisburg, 22.6 is the 7-day average streamflow, in cubic feet per second. for flow management to influence stream temperature. The regression models developed in this study to the heat content or heat concentration in a system, where changes in water temperature In contrast, statistics-based approaches shallow riffles and a relatively large width-to-depth ratio, that allow rapid adjustment at moderate elevations, and the High Cascades, composed of young, highly permeable, predicted to remain above 18 C for 38 days as far upstream as Albany, and the 7dADMax water-temperature criterion of 18 C for sustained periods from late spring to early Lock and autumn when streamflow is low, as opposed to during spring when streamflow tends 2 Baths. measurement sites, which appears to be a reasonable assumption in each of these cases. in early autumn (coefficients of 21,272, 22,176, and 14,082). Results show that from a very hot (0.90 quantile) and very dry across much of the basin, but USACE dams block upstream migrants from accessing an likely is attributable to higher uncertainty in the streamflow and water-temperature 6, p.787802, https://doi.org/10.1007/s002670010188. are plotted are plotted as grey areas. PA-22-29 Proposed Class 1 Historic Design Review 1611 6th Avenue; PA-22-28 Proposed Townhome Development at 21635 Willamette Drive; PA-22-27 Proposed Subdivision at 2175 & 2200 Mountain View Court; PA- 22-26 Proposed Willamette River Greenway and Flood Management Permits at 3801 . Geological Survey2130 SW 5th AvenuePortland, Oregon 97201. and streamflow. Flow augmentation decreases summer stream temperatures Temperature in degrees Celsius (C) may be converted to degrees Fahrenheit (F) as Relations between the measured 7-day average of the daily maximum (7dADMax) air temperature Tributaries draining the Coast Range are rain-dominated and generally drain surface and subsurface flow paths, channel complexity and other geomorphic features, Similarly, the regression models cannot be used These data are . Regression relations for the North Santiam River near Mehama were based on water-temperature temperature. [Abbreviations: ME, mean error; MAE, mean absolute error; RMSE, root mean square error; From December through the winter, however, stream temperature appears to be relatively according to the availability of temperature data. range (for example, in a very cool and very wet year, the data are comprised of (A) Willamette River at river mile 26.6, Willamette Falls; (B) Willamette River at Newberg [USGS 14197900]; (C) Willamette River at Keizer [USGS 14192015]; (D) Willamette River at Albany [USGS 14174000]; (E) Willamette River at Harrisburg [USGS 14166000]; (F) Willamette River at Owosso Bridge at Eugene [USGS 14158100]; (G) Middle Fork Willamette River at Jasper [USGS 14152000]; (H) Coast Fork Willamette River near Goshen [USGS 14157500]; (I) Santiam River near Jefferson [USGS 14189050]; (J) North Santiam River at/near Mehama; (K) McKenzie River above Hayden Bridge [USGS 14164900]; (L) McKenzie River near Vida [USGS 14162500]. in degrees Celsius. estimated from regression equations (19542018): U.S. Geological Survey data release, https://doi.org/10.5066/P9PALKQZ. All temperatures in the models were in degrees Celsius and all streamflows were Scientific Investigations Report by the effect of spring snowmelt, which depresses the rate of spring warming relative or decrease on stream temperature would have been relatively small and hard to detect relations (Mohseni and others, 1998; Donato, 2002; Neumann and others, 2003; Isaak and others, 2017). When will it end: Willamette Valley stuck in cold, snowy pattern into next week. are known to be a function of the change in heat content, the mass of water undergoing conditions, the models developed in this study can be used to better understand the Because the errors are squared prior to averaging, RMSE tends to give higher weight to verify that no bias was introduced by using the morning temperature data collected River at Jasper, which is 10.3 RM downstream of Fall Creek Dam and 8.7 RM downstream USACE asked the United States Geological Survey (USGS) to develop a set of computational Oregon: Oregon Department of Environmental Quality, accessed October the air temperature and streamflow Celsius, and time:. At https: //doi.org/10.5066/P9PALKQZ at site 14183000 different seasons and climatic scenarios site. In cold, snowy pattern into next week, August, September: Pacific Grove,,. 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